PSG drew Bayern Munich, who have beaten them in five straight European matches since 2021. Arsenal ended up at the Metropolitano, which has eaten good teams alive under Simeone this season. The quarter-finals tore up most predictions, and odds on platforms like 1xbetting site have been shifting all week with bookmakers hedging across both ties. A Budapest final waits in May for whoever gets through these two legs.
Paris Saint-Germain Host Bayern Munich at Parc des Princes
Five straight Champions League wins for Bayern over PSG. One of them was right here at Parc des Princes back in November, Luis Díaz scoring twice before getting red-carded, Bayern still winning 2-1 with ten men for the whole second half. These two have met 15 times in Europe's top club competition and never drawn, which is a bizarre stat for two squads bookmakers cannot separate right now.
PSG put four past Liverpool without reply over two legs in the quarters, Luis Enrique rotating his Ligue 1 lineup smartly enough through April that the squad looks fresh heading into Tuesday, and Marquinhos starts tonight at 120 Champions League appearances if he does, level with Roberto Carlos for the most by a Brazilian.
Harry Kane's Scoring Run and Bayern Munich's Treble Chase
Kane has 12 Champions League goals in 11 games. Five straight on the scoresheet. The Bundesliga got wrapped up with four rounds left and Bayern booked a DFB-Pokal final after putting two past Bayer Leverkusen, so a treble is on. The knockout path was messy in the best way, ten to two over Atalanta and then a chaotic 6-4 against Real Madrid where defending seemed optional for both sides.
Kompany picked up three yellow cards and cannot be on the touchline Tuesday, watching from the stands while his staff passes instructions down, with odds for the first leg sitting close to even despite Bayern's recent dominance in this fixture.
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Luis Enrique's PSG Chasing a 100th Champions League Win
Win Tuesday and PSG reach 100 Champions League victories, which no French club has done, and given that they lead Ligue 1 by six points with 38 European goals on the season and November's meeting at this ground produced three goals even with Bayern down to ten before halftime, expecting a cagey match feels like wishful thinking.
Atlético Madrid Welcome Arsenal to the Metropolitano
That 4-0 from October gets mentioned a lot but it happened at the Emirates and this is the Metropolitano, which has been a nightmare for visitors this season. Simeone has used it to knock out Tottenham and Barcelona already. Julián Álvarez hit a free-kick at Camp Nou in the quarter-finals from an angle that should not have beaten the wall, and he sits on nine goals and six assists in 13 European matches. Atlético's 34 Champions League goals before reaching the last four is a club record.
Arsenal went unbeaten through the league phase. Five goals conceded the entire tournament. They scraped past Sporting CP 1-0 on aggregate, and none of that has been tested against anything resembling the Metropolitano atmosphere. Simeone gives them the ball Wednesday and sends Álvarez, Sørloth, and Griezmann at whoever commits first, and betting on Atlético at home has tracked separately from their league prices since October.
Injuries Tilting the Odds
Merino misses both legs, foot injury. Havertz barely lasted half an hour at Newcastle, same as Eze who has muscle discomfort. On the Atlético side Barrios is out with a hamstring and neither Giménez nor Lookman is confirmed for Wednesday.
Road to Budapest and the Puskás Aréna Final
Second legs land May 5 and 6 with the final on May 30 in Budapest, and betting lines for both semis sit tight.